Tracking Public Beliefs About Anthropogenic Climate Change

A simple question about climate change, with one choice designed to match consensus statements by scientists, was asked on 35 US nationwide, single-state or regional surveys from 2010 to 2015. Analysis of these data (over 28,000 interviews) yields robust and exceptionally well replicated findings on public beliefs about anthropogenic climate change, including regional variations, change over time, demographic bases, and the interacting effects of respondent education and political views. We find that more than half of the US public accepts the scientific consensus that climate change is happening now, caused mainly by human activities. A sizable, politically opposite minority (about 30 to 40%) concede the fact of climate change, but believe it has mainly natural causes. Few (about 10 to 15%) say they believe climate is not changing, or express no opinion. The overall proportions appear relatively stable nationwide, but exhibit place-to-place variations. Detailed analysis of 21 consecutive surveys within one fairly representative state (New Hampshire) finds a mild but statistically significant rise in agreement with the scientific consensus over 2010–2015. Effects from daily temperature are detectable but minor. Hurricane Sandy, which brushed New Hampshire but caused no disaster there, shows no lasting impact on that state’s time series—suggesting that non-immediate weather disasters have limited effects. In all datasets political orientation dominates among individual-level predictors of climate beliefs, moderating the otherwise positive effects from education. Acceptance of anthropogenic climate change rises with education among Democrats and Independents, but not so among Republicans. The continuing series of surveys provides a baseline for tracking how future scientific, political, socioeconomic or climate developments impact public acceptance of the scientific consensus.     

T-dependent destruction of thyroid isografts exposed to IFN-gamma

Several autoimmune diseases are accompanied by tissue-specific expression of class II molecules of the MHC, and it has been suggested that this elicits a T cell response against tissue-specific Ag to which the individual is not tolerant. However, recent transgenic studies have indicated that non-lymphoid expression of class II genes in the pancreas, liver, and kidney is either innocuous or induces peripheral tolerance. To test this hypothesis in another organ-specific autoimmune disease, we attempted to induce autoimmune thyroiditis in normal mice with class II+ thyroid tissue. Normal thyroid lobes were cultured with and without IFN-gamma and then transplanted to adult isogeneic recipients. The thyroid that had been induced to express class II genes by IFN-gamma was destroyed in normal mice, whereas the control cultured thyroid and the native cervical gland survived. Both types of transplants remained intact and functional in congenic nu/nu recipients, indicating that neither exposure to IFN-gamma nor expression of class II genes compromised the thyroid. Thus, in some tissues, exposure to IFN-gamma and/or the induction of class II expression can lead to T-dependent autoimmune disease.     

The antigenic surface of staphylococcal nuclease. II. Analysis of the N-1 epitope by site-directed mutagenesis.

Previous studies in our laboratory on the production and isolation of a panel of mAb to staphylococcal nuclease allowed us to define a series of eight overlapping epitopes. Using site-directed mutagenesis of the nuclease coding sequences we were able to map the nonoverlapping epitopes recognized by two members of this panel. In the study reported here, we report the generation and analysis of a number of single amino acid substitutions for seven surface residues predicted to lie within one of these two epitopes. Immunochemical analysis showed that one or more substitutions at each of these seven positions had a major effect on mAb binding, whereas other substitutions had none. Based on the nature of these substitutions and the chemical and physical properties of the variant molecules, we believe that any structural effects induced by these substitutions are local and do not result in long-range structural alterations that indirectly influence antibody reactivity. Therefore, we conclude that disruption of mAb binding can be directly attributed to changes in amino acid side chains and that not only are all seven of the residues studied part of the epitope but all seven make contact with the antibody combining site. These studies demonstrate the advantages of using site-directed mutagenesis to study antigen structure and emphasize the importance of constructing the examining multiple substitutions for any given amino acid.     

Regional distribution of blood flow within the diaphragm

We investigated the regional distribution of blood flow (Q) within the costal and crural portions of the diaphragm in a total of eight anesthetized supine mongrel dogs. Q was measured with 15-microns microspheres, radiolabeled with three different isotopes, injected into the left ventricle during spontaneous breathing (SB), inspiratory resistive loading (IR), and mechanical ventilation after paralysis (P). At necropsy, the costal and crural portions of each hemidiaphragm were arbitrarily subdivided along a sagittal plane into five to seven and three sections, respectively. During P, there was a dorsoventral Q gradient within the costal part of the diaphragm. During SB there was a fourfold increase in the gradient of Q. Furthermore, during IR, in which mouth pressures of -16 +/- 4 cmH2O were generated, there was a further increase in the gradient of Q. During both SB and IR, Q to the most ventral portion of the costal diaphragm was 26 +/- 6% less than the peak value. In two dogs, studied prone and supine, there was no difference in the Q gradients between the two postures. Over the dorsal 80% of the costal diaphragm there was also a dorsoventral gradient of muscle thickness, such that the most dorsal part was 54 +/- 2% (n = 5) that of the ventral portion. In contrast, there was no consistent gradient of Q or muscle thickness within the crural diaphragm. Our results demonstrate a topographical gravity-independent distribution of Q in the costal, but not the crural, diaphragm.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)     

A One Year Audit of Fine Needle Aspiration Cytology For the Pre-Operative Diagnosis of Breast Disease

In 1988, 985 patients presenting with breast disease, most with a palpable abnormality, were investigated by the triple approach (clinical examination, imaging and fine needle aspiration cytology [FNAC]). Using FNAC, 28% of patients were diagnosed as having carcinoma, 45% benign disease, 4% had suspicious cytology and 3% equivocal cytology. The remaining 20% had inadequate aspirates. Two false positive diagnoses of carcinoma were made (a false positive rate of 0.7%); one was a case of high grade non-Hodgkin's lymphoma and the other a papillary lesion with epithelial atypia. The false negative rate was 6.4%. Of these 49 patients, six had carcinoma-in-situ and 19 had low grade tumours. The absolute and complete sensitivities for the diagnosis of carcinoma in this series were 84.7% and 91.9% respectively and the absolute and complete specificities 99.7% and 98.3%, respectively. These figures compare favourably with those from other centres and confirm the efficacy of FNAC as part of the triple approach to the diagnosis of breast disease. The use of FNAC has resulted in a reduction in the number of Trucut and frozen section biopsies performed. Eighty three per cent of the patients with benign disease diagnosed by the triple approach have avoided excision biopsy, none of whom have subsequently been found to have carcinoma. Eighty patients with advanced breast carcinoma were spared operative intervention.